Hurricane DANIELLE

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HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042004
0300Z WED AUG 18 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  40.6W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  40.6W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  40.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 28.3N  40.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 30.2N  39.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 31.8N  38.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 33.0N  37.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 35.0N  34.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 39.0N  27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 46.0N  16.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N  40.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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