Tropical Storm DANIELLE

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HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042004
0300Z SUN AUG 15 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  30.0W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  30.0W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  29.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.9N  31.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.2N  33.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.7N  35.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.1N  37.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.0N  40.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 25.0N  42.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 28.0N  43.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N  30.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BROWN/BEVEN
 
 
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