Hurricane CHARLEY

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TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032004
2100Z SAT AUG 14 2004
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING
THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...CHESAPEAKE
BAY...DELAWARE BAY....NEW YORK HARBOR AND LONG ISLAND SOUND.  AT 5
PM...WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED INLAND NEAR 36.0N  77.0W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  26 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N  77.0W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.5N  78.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 39.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 42.7N  70.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 44.9N  66.7W...EXTRATOPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 46.5N  62.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 48.5N  52.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.0N  77.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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