| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Hurricane CHARLEY (Text)

ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE CHARLEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032004
2100Z FRI AUG 13 2004
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD
TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER ON THE FLORIDA WEST COAST AND FROM COCOA
BEACH FLORIDA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA ON THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
COAST.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUPITER INLET TO
COCOA BEACH FLORIDA...AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE
LOOKOUT TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS AND FOR CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT.
 
ELSEWHERE...ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  82.2W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
EYE DIAMETER   5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  40SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  75SE  75SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 150SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  82.2W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  82.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 29.7N  81.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  25NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 33.9N  79.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...  0NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 38.5N  76.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 43.5N  72.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 47.5N  66.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 49.5N  60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N  82.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
$$
NNNN