Hurricane CHARLEY

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HURRICANE CHARLEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032004
1500Z FRI AUG 13 2004

CORRECTION...CHANGE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA NORTHWARD TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA AND
GEORGIA COASTS FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA
AND IS NOW EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA
MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY
AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF
NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER
BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER THE
GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
  
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  82.8W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 140SE  60SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  82.8W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  82.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.7N  82.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 31.4N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...135NE 135SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 35.8N  79.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 40.2N  76.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 46.5N  71.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N  82.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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