Tropical Storm BONNIE

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TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022004
2100Z WED AUG 11 2004
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM
DESTIN EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM WEST OF DESTIN WESTWARD TO THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  89.3W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  60SE  25SW  25NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  89.3W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  89.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.2N  87.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.8N  84.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 34.1N  81.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 38.3N  77.0W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 48.0N  67.0W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL ZONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N  89.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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