Tropical Storm BONNIE

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TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022004
1500Z TUE AUG 10 2004
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BONNIE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  90.6W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  90.6W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  90.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.0N  90.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 26.2N  90.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.4N  89.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.5N  86.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 35.5N  77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 49.0N  70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT OR EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N  90.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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