Tropical Depression TWO

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022004
0900Z WED AUG 04 2004
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST LUCIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE...MARTINIQUE
...DOMINICA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND FOR PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
AND HAITI LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  60.7W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  22 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  60.7W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  59.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.6N  63.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.8N  66.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 17.3N  69.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.5N  70.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.5N  71.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 28.0N  71.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 32.0N  69.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  60.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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