Hurricane ALEX

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HURRICANE ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012004
1500Z TUE AUG 03 2004
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
SOUTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE LOOKOUT.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON
INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND.  THIS MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF OREGON
INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE
ALBEMARLE SOUND.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N  75.8W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  90SE  50SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N  75.8W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  76.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 35.9N  73.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 37.4N  70.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 38.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 39.5N  61.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 44.5N  48.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED/ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.7N  75.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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