Tropical Storm ALEX

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TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012004
0300Z TUE AUG 03 2004
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET
NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND.  THIS MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO
THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N  77.8W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  90SE  50SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N  77.8W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.4N  78.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 34.1N  76.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 35.7N  74.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 37.4N  70.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 39.9N  64.6W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 43.5N  52.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 300SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.8N  77.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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