Tropical Storm ALEX

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TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012004
0900Z MON AUG 02 2004
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO SOUND.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS
TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH
CAROLINA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  79.5W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT STATIONARY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  90SE  90SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  79.5W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  79.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 32.2N  79.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  90SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 33.4N  77.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 35.3N  74.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 37.5N  70.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 43.0N  59.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 49.0N  44.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N  79.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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