Tropical Storm ALEX

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TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012004
2100Z SUN AUG 01 2004
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD AND NOW EXTENDS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO
CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTH OF
CAPE HATTERAS TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA.  A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  79.2W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  79.2W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  79.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 32.4N  78.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 33.5N  77.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.7N  75.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 36.5N  72.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 41.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  25NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 46.0N  52.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N  79.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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