Tropical Storm GEORGETTE

ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT MON AUG 30 2004
 
DVORAK T NUMBERS FROM TAFB...SAB...AND AFWA HAVE ALL FALLEN TO 1.0
NOW THAT ALL DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. THEREFORE...GEORGETTE
HAS DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT LOW WITH AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25
KT. ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL THE POSSIBILITY OF INTERMITTENT BURSTS
OF CONVECTION...COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES...A STABLE AIR MASS
TO THE WEST...AND INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN
THE CIRCULATION.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 280/9. THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE MOVING TO
THE WEST STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW AND COULD MAINTAIN AN
IDENTIFIABLE CIRCULATION THROUGH THE NEXT 5 DAYS...AS DISSIPATING
EAST PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES OFTEN DO.
 
FORECASTER BERG/LAWRENCE
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      30/1500Z 20.1N 124.9W    25 KT
 12HR VT     31/0000Z 20.3N 126.3W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     31/1200Z 20.5N 128.3W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     01/0000Z 20.7N 130.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     01/1200Z 20.8N 132.8W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     02/1200Z 20.8N 137.3W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     03/1200Z 20.8N 141.8W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 
 
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