Tropical Storm GEORGETTE

ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT MON AUG 30 2004
 
THE LATEST SATELLITE T NUMBER INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 2.0 FROM BOTH
TAFB AND SAB OR 30 KTS.  ALSO...THE LATEST QUICK SCAT WIND
ESTIMATES SHOW THAT THERE IS ONLY ONE 35 KNOT OBSERVATION IN A
LARGE FIELD OF 30 KNOT WINDS.  THUS...GEORGETTE IS DOWNGRADED TO A
DEPRESSION WITH AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KTS.  THE SYSTEM REMAINS
SHEARED WITH ALL OF THE REMAINING CONVECTION WEST OF THE EXPOSED
LOW LEVEL CENTER.

INITIAL MOTION IS 280/10. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED AS THE
SYSTEM WEAKENS...DISSIPATES IN ABOUT 24 HOURS...AND BECOMES A
REMNANT LOW. 
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      30/0900Z 20.1N 124.0W    30 KT
 12HR VT     30/1800Z 20.3N 125.4W    30 KT
 24HR VT     31/0600Z 20.6N 127.3W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 36HR VT     31/1800Z 20.8N 129.4W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     01/0600Z 21.0N 131.7W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     02/0600Z 21.0N 136.2W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     03/0600Z 21.0N 140.7W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW

 
 
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