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Tropical Depression NINE-E (Text)

ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT THU AUG 26 2004
 
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND EARLIER MICROWAVE PASSES
DEPICT TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E AS A RATHER LARGE FULLY EXPOSED
SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 25 KT
FROM TAFB AND 30 KT FROM AFWA. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 25 KT. 

CURRENT MOTION IS 270/9. A LOW/MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH IS
EXPECTED TO INFLUENCE A WESTWARD MOTION DURING THE ENTIRE FORECAST
PERIOD. THE TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS AND AGREES
WITH THE GFS...NOGAPS AND THE SHALLOW LAYER BETA ADVECTION MODEL.

UPPER SOUTHWESTERLIES AND COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE
CONTINUE TO HINDER CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
REMAINS THE SAME AS BEFORE WITH DISSIPATION IN 12 HOURS OR
LESS...THEN CONTINUING WESTWARD AS A REMNANT LOW OVER THE REMAINING
PERIOD.
 
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      26/0900Z 20.0N 130.2W    25 KT
 12HR VT     26/1800Z 20.0N 131.8W    20 KT...DISSIPATING
 24HR VT     27/0600Z 20.0N 133.9W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     27/1800Z 20.0N 136.1W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     28/0600Z 20.0N 138.3W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     29/0600Z 20.0N 142.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     30/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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