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Tropical Depression NINE-E


ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT WED AUG 25 2004
 
SATELLITE ENHANCED INFRARED ANIMATION DEPICTS WARMING TOPS OF A
RECENT BURST OF CONVECTION JUST WEST OF THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. DIURNAL OR TEMPORARY BURSTS OF CONVECTION
WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MODERATE
SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND COOLER SSTS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVENT ANY
STRENGTHENING...AND SHOULD CAUSE DISSIPATION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS
AS THE SHIPS...GFS...AND UKMET SUGGEST.
 
INITIAL MOTION IS SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN 6 HOURS AGO...WITH A
WEST-NORTHWEST MOVEMENT AT 7 KT...FURTHER INCREASING TO 10 KT IN 24
HOURS. GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A WESTWARD MOTION AFTER
24 HOURS WITHIN THE LOW-LEVEL TRADES. THIS OFFICIAL FORECAST IS
SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS AND DYNAMICAL MODEL GUIDANCE. 
 
ROBERTS/AVILA
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      25/0900Z 19.3N 126.3W    25 KT
 12HR VT     25/1800Z 19.5N 127.7W    25 KT
 24HR VT     26/0600Z 19.6N 129.8W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 36HR VT     26/1800Z 19.6N 132.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     27/0600Z 19.6N 134.9W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     28/0600Z 19.5N 139.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     29/0600Z 19.5N 143.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT     30/0600Z 19.5N 146.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Wednesday, 25-Aug-2004 08:43:15 UTC