ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED JUL 14 2004 THE SYSTEM IS OVER WATERS COOLER THAN 22 DEG C AND CONSISTS OF A LARGE SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH A FEW SHOWERS WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. BLAS IS DISSIPATING AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...ALTHOUGH THE REMNANT LOW WILL PROBABLY LINGER ON FOR A FEW DAYS. THE CYCLONE CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 12 KT...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST. THIS IS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST NOGAPS GUIDANCE. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON BLAS. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0300Z 23.1N 119.8W 25 KT 12HR VT 15/1200Z 23.6N 121.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 16/0000Z 24.0N 123.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 16/1200Z 24.0N 125.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 17/0000Z 24.0N 126.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 18/0000Z 24.0N 129.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Thursday, 15-Jul-2004 02:32:21 UTC