Tropical Storm MATTHEW

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION MATTHEW DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN OCT 10 2004

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE BROAD AND POORLY-DEFINED
CENTER IS INLAND...AND THAT THE SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW
TROPICAL STORM FORCE.  THEREFORE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
DISCONTINUED.  THE PRIMARY CONCERN FROM MATTHEW IS LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL.

THE CIRCULATION IS ELONGATED FROM WEST TO EAST...MAKING THE CENTER
SOMEWHAT DIFFICULT TO TRACK.  INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE
GENERALLY NORTHWARD...010/9.  MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
MOVING ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF A MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WHILE GRADUALLY WEAKENING. 
THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SOMEWHAT TO THE EAST OF THE MODEL
CONSENSUS.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY PACKAGE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER.  FUTURE PUBLIC ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT4 AND
UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT34 KWNH. 

FORECASTER PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      10/1500Z 29.9N  90.8W    30 KT...INLAND
 12HR VT     11/0000Z 31.4N  90.4W    30 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     11/1200Z 33.4N  90.4W    25 KT...INLAND
 36HR VT     12/0000Z 34.9N  90.7W    20 KT...INLAND
 48HR VT     12/1200Z 36.0N  91.0W    20 KT...INLAND
 72HR VT     13/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
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