ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 ...OLAF VERY NEAR THE COASTLINE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.6 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES...35 KM...WEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH ...6KM/HR... AND A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF WILL MOVE INLAND DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. IMAGES FROM THE CUYUTLAN RADAR SUGGEST THAT OLAF HAS STRENGTHENED AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OLAF SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER IT CROSSES THE COAST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES ... 75 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ALONG WITH LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES...ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...19.0 N...104.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:09 UTC