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Hurricane OLAF


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TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 2003

...OLAF HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR MANZANILLO MEXICO...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO
CABO CORRIENTES.
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED
JUST INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.6 WEST OR
ABOUT 15 MILES...20 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.
 
OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR  6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE MOVING OVER LAND TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STEADY WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  45 MILES
... 75 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
 
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ALONG WITH LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES...ARE
OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA.  THESE TIDES AND
WAVES SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH TODAY.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...19.3 N...104.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM
PDT.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
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