Hurricane OLAF

ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT MON OCT 06 2003
 
...OLAF REORGANIZING AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO
CABO CORRIENTES.
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST OR ABOUT 55
MILES...85 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO.
 
OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND A TURN
TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF WILL BE INLAND OR VERY CLOSE TO
THE COAST BY LATE THIS EVENING.
 
OLAF IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AGAIN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AS THE CENTER NEARS THE COASTLINE.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ALONG WITH LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES...ARE
LIKELY ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4-8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...18.3 N...104.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
NNNN