Hurricane OLAF

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HURRICANE OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER   9...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT SUN OCT 05 2003

CORRECTED TO ADD ISLAS MARIAS TO THE HURRICANE WARNING...

...OLAF BECOMES A HURRICANE...WARNINGS ISSUED...
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN
TELMO TO SAN BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO
LAZARO CARDENAS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.3 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES...230
KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.
 
OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS
MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF OLAF PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF
MEXICO.  HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK
COULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR  75 MPH...120
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.  A SHIP REPORT INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE JUST OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF MEXICO AND COULD
SPREAD ONSHORE IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY.

RAINBANDS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WESTERN MEXICO TODAY.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...17.1 N...104.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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