Tropical Storm CARLOS

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TROPICAL STORM CARLOS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM PDT FRI JUN 27 2003
 
...CARLOS WEAKENING OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO...
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING EAST OF PUERTO ANGEL.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM
PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO.  THE REMAINDER OF THE WARNING WILL
LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.  INTERESTS ELSEWHERE
ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF CARLOS.
 
AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  98.0 WEST
OR ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...NORTHWEST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. 
THIS POSITION IS JUST INLAND FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO.
 
CARLOS IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  5 MPH
...8 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED
TODAY.  THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER OF CARLOS ALONG BUT JUST
INLAND FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35
MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OVER WATER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF CARLOS.  THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...16.5 N... 98.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 1000 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN/LAWRENCE
 
 
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