ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL MIDNIGHT CDT SAT AUG 16 2003 ...ERIKA NEARING COAST...SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO BY DAYBREAK... NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BROWNSVILLE TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA MEXICO NORTHWARD TO THE U.S. BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO PORT O'CONNOR. AT MIDNIGHT CDT...0500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...31 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF ERIKA TO THE WESTERN GULF COAST NEAR BROWNSVILLE EARLY THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...115 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AND ERIKA COULD BECOME A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES ...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE EXTRAPOLATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES...NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF ERIKA. THIS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS...AND MUDSLIDES IN AREAS NEAR ELEVATED TERRAIN. RADAR DATA SHOWS OUTER RAINBANDS SHOULD REACH THE COAST SHORTLY. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ALONG THE MIDDLE AND LOWER TEXAS COAST TONIGHT. REPEATING THE MIDNIGHT CDT POSITION...25.8 N... 96.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT. THE CENTER OF ERIKA HAS BECOME POORLY DEFINED ON BROWNSVILLE RADAR AND THE HOURLY POSITION ESTIMATES ARE DISCONTINUED AT THIS TIME. FORECASTER LAWRENCE NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:04 UTC