Tropical Storm ERIKA

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TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT FRI AUG 15 2003
 
...ERIKA CONTINUING QUICKLY WESTWARD...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN
SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AS A HURRICANE BEFORE
SUNRISE...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM BROWNSVILLE TO BAFFIN BAY
TEXAS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA MEXICO
NORTHWARD TO THE U.S. BORDER.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF BAFFIN BAY
TO PORT O'CONNOR.
 
AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  94.5 WEST OR ABOUT 185 MILES
...295 KM...EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
 
ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ERIKA IS FORECAST TO BE ON THE COAST WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA EARLY SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DATA FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR IN
BROWNSVILLE INDICATES AN EYEWALL MAY BE FORMING...AND ERIKA IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS
998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES...NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF ERIKA.  THIS COULD CAUSE
PRODUCE FLASH FLOODS...AND MUDSLIDES IN AREAS NEAR ELEVATED
TERRAIN.  RADAR DATA SHOWS OUTER RAINBANDS SHOULD REACH THE COAST
IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ALONG THE MIDDLE AND
LOWER TEXAS COAST BEGINNING TONIGHT.
 
REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...26.0 N... 94.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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