Tropical Storm LARRY

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TROPICAL STORM LARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SAT OCT 04 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF LARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  94.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT TUE OCT  7 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.9N  94.1W      99  X  X  X 99   MMTX 210N 974W     4  5  4  3 16
18.5N  94.2W      99  X  X  X 99   MMVR 192N 961W    19  3  1  2 25
18.1N  94.3W      25  2  1  X 28   MMFR 185N 926W    16  2  1  2 21
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  3  3   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  1  4  5
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  3  3   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  3  3
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  2  5  7   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  2  3  5
MMTM 222N 979W     X  3  4  5 12
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM SUN TO  1PM SUN
C FROM  1PM SUN TO  1AM MON
D FROM  1AM MON TO  1AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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