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Tropical Storm LARRY


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TROPICAL STORM LARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT FRI OCT 03 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF LARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  94.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT MON OCT  6 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
20.0N  94.0W      99  X  X  X 99   MMTX 210N 974W     4  5  4  4 17
19.5N  94.0W      99  X  X  X 99   MMVR 192N 961W    19  3  1  2 25
19.5N  94.0W      99  X  X  X 99   MMFR 185N 926W    13  4  2  2 21
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  3  3   MMMD 210N 897W     X  1  4  4  9
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  4  4   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  4  4
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  3  3   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  3  3
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  2  6  8   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  2  6  8
MMTM 222N 979W     X  3  4  6 13
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM SAT TO  1PM SAT
C FROM  1PM SAT TO  1AM SUN
D FROM  1AM SUN TO  1AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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