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Tropical Storm LARRY


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TROPICAL STORM LARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU OCT 02 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF LARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT SUN OCT  5 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.0N  93.5W      99  X  X  X 99   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  2  2
21.0N  93.5W      99  X  X  X 99   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  3  3
21.0N  93.5W      99  X  X  X 99   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  3  3
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  2  2   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  4  4
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  3  3   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  4  4
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  2  2   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  2  6  8
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  3  7 10   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2
MMTM 222N 979W     X  2  3  7 12   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  3  4
MMTX 210N 974W     1  3  5  5 14   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  1  5  6
MMVR 192N 961W     6  4  4  3 17   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  1  5  6
MMFR 185N 926W     9  4  3  2 18   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  2  6  8
MMMD 210N 897W     1  2  3  4 10   GULF 25N 96W       X  2  5  6 13
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM FRI TO  7PM FRI
C FROM  7PM FRI TO  7AM SAT
D FROM  7AM SAT TO  7AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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