Tropical Storm LARRY
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TROPICAL STORM LARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU OCT 02 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF LARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT SUN OCT 5 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
21.0N 93.5W 99 X X X 99 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 2 2
21.0N 93.5W 99 X X X 99 GALVESTON TX X X X 3 3
21.0N 93.5W 99 X X X 99 FREEPORT TX X X X 3 3
MMCZ 205N 869W X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 4 4
MZBZ 175N 883W X X X 3 3 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 4 4
MGPB 157N 886W X X X 2 2 BROWNSVILLE TX X X 2 6 8
MMSO 238N 982W X X 3 7 10 GULF 28N 89W X X X 2 2
MMTM 222N 979W X 2 3 7 12 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 3 4
MMTX 210N 974W 1 3 5 5 14 GULF 28N 93W X X 1 5 6
MMVR 192N 961W 6 4 4 3 17 GULF 28N 95W X X 1 5 6
MMFR 185N 926W 9 4 3 2 18 GULF 27N 96W X X 2 6 8
MMMD 210N 897W 1 2 3 4 10 GULF 25N 96W X 2 5 6 13
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM FRI TO 7PM FRI
C FROM 7PM FRI TO 7AM SAT
D FROM 7AM SAT TO 7AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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