Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 50
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
39.7N 78.7W 34 6 X X 40 CAPE HATTERAS NC 99 X X X 99
44.5N 78.7W X 19 7 X 26 NORFOLK VA 60 X X X 60
50.5N 77.0W X X 11 X 11 OCEAN CITY MD 10 1 X X 11
WILMINGTON NC 4 X X X 4 ATLANTIC CITY NJ 3 2 X X 5
MOREHEAD CITY NC 99 X X X 99 NEW YORK CITY NY X 2 X X 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
C FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
D FROM 8AM SAT TO 8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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