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Hurricane ISABEL


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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  49
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
37.9N  78.2W      32  2  X  X 34   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  1  3  X  4
41.4N  78.5W       X 18  4  X 22   PROVIDENCE RI      X  1  3  X  4
47.0N  78.0W       X  X 10  3 13   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  2  X  2
WILMINGTON NC     23  X  X  X 23   HYANNIS MA         X  X  2  1  3
MOREHEAD CITY NC  77  X  X  X 77   BOSTON MA          X  X  3  1  4
CAPE HATTERAS NC  65  X  X  X 65   PORTLAND ME        X  X  3  1  4
NORFOLK VA        36  X  X  X 36   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  1  2  3
OCEAN CITY MD      9  7  X  X 16   EASTPORT ME        X  X  1  1  2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   2 10  2  X 14   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  2  2
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  6  4  X 10   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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