Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
36.5N 77.5W 41 X X X 41 NEW YORK CITY NY X 3 9 1 13
39.5N 78.5W 4 23 X X 27 MONTAUK POINT NY X X 5 3 8
43.0N 77.5W X 3 14 3 20 PROVIDENCE RI X X 4 3 7
CHARLESTON SC 1 1 X X 2 NANTUCKET MA X X 2 2 4
MYRTLE BEACH SC 18 X X X 18 HYANNIS MA X X 2 2 4
WILMINGTON NC 42 X X X 42 BOSTON MA X X 3 4 7
MOREHEAD CITY NC 55 X X X 55 PORTLAND ME X X 1 5 6
CAPE HATTERAS NC 46 X X X 46 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 4 4
NORFOLK VA 30 2 X 1 33 EASTPORT ME X X X 3 3
OCEAN CITY MD 6 11 1 X 18 ST JOHN NB X X X 2 2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ 1 9 5 X 15
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
C FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
D FROM 8PM FRI TO 8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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