Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
35.0N 76.6W 36 1 X X 37 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X 1 6 4 11
37.6N 78.5W 4 21 2 X 27 NEW YORK CITY NY X X 3 6 9
41.5N 79.0W X 1 14 4 19 MONTAUK POINT NY X X 1 4 5
CHARLESTON SC 3 3 X X 6 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 5 5
MYRTLE BEACH SC 20 2 X X 22 NANTUCKET MA X X X 3 3
WILMINGTON NC 34 1 X X 35 HYANNIS MA X X X 3 3
MOREHEAD CITY NC 39 X X X 39 BOSTON MA X X X 4 4
CAPE HATTERAS NC 29 2 X X 31 PORTLAND ME X X X 4 4
NORFOLK VA 10 12 1 X 23 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 2 2
OCEAN CITY MD 1 4 8 1 14 EASTPORT ME X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
C FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
D FROM 2PM FRI TO 2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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