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Hurricane ISABEL


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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  46
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.6N  75.4W      41  X  X  X 41   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  1  5  5 11
36.0N  77.3W       6 21  1  X 28   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  2  7  9
39.0N  79.0W       X  6 12  1 19   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  6  6
CHARLESTON SC      2  6  1  X  9   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  6  6
MYRTLE BEACH SC   10 11  X  X 21   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  4  4
WILMINGTON NC     20 10  X  X 30   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  4  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC  27  8  X  X 35   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  5  5
CAPE HATTERAS NC  19 10  X  X 29   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  4  4
NORFOLK VA         2 18  1  1 22   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  2  2
OCEAN CITY MD      X  5  7  2 14
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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