Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 46
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
33.6N 75.4W 41 X X X 41 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X 1 5 5 11
36.0N 77.3W 6 21 1 X 28 NEW YORK CITY NY X X 2 7 9
39.0N 79.0W X 6 12 1 19 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 6 6
CHARLESTON SC 2 6 1 X 9 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 6 6
MYRTLE BEACH SC 10 11 X X 21 NANTUCKET MA X X X 4 4
WILMINGTON NC 20 10 X X 30 HYANNIS MA X X X 4 4
MOREHEAD CITY NC 27 8 X X 35 BOSTON MA X X X 5 5
CAPE HATTERAS NC 19 10 X X 29 PORTLAND ME X X X 4 4
NORFOLK VA 2 18 1 1 22 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 2 2
OCEAN CITY MD X 5 7 2 14
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
C FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
D FROM 8AM FRI TO 8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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