Hurricane ISABEL

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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.5N  73.0W      47  X  X  X 47   NORFOLK VA         X  1 12  4 17
32.7N  74.6W       9 20  1  X 30   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  3  9 12
35.0N  76.7W       X 12  9  1 22   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  9 10
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  1  1  2   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  7  7
CHARLESTON SC      X  1  4  2  7   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  4  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  5  8  1 14   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  3  3
WILMINGTON NC      X 11  8  1 20   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X 14  8  X 22   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X 10 10  1 21   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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