Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.9N 72.6W 51 X X X 51 CAPE HATTERAS NC X 4 11 3 18
31.7N 73.9W 18 11 X X 29 NORFOLK VA X X 8 7 15
33.8N 75.6W X 15 5 1 21 OCEAN CITY MD X X 2 9 11
SAVANNAH GA X X 1 3 4 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 8 8
CHARLESTON SC X 1 4 4 9 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 5 5
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 3 8 3 14 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 3 3
WILMINGTON NC X 5 10 2 17 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 2 2
MOREHEAD CITY NC X 6 11 2 19
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM WED TO 8PM WED
C FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU
D FROM 8AM THU TO 8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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