Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON SEP 15 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST THU SEP 18 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
26.5N 71.0W 52 X X X 52 WILMINGTON NC X X X 12 12
27.9N 71.9W 24 6 X X 30 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 14 14
29.2N 72.6W 2 18 2 1 23 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 14 14
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2 NORFOLK VA X X X 9 9
SAVANNAH GA X X X 4 4 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 5 5
CHARLESTON SC X X X 8 8 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 2 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 10 10
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
C FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED
D FROM 2AM WED TO 2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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