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Hurricane ISABEL


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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON SEP 15 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST THU SEP 18 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.5N  71.0W      52  X  X  X 52   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X 12 12
27.9N  71.9W      24  6  X  X 30   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X 14 14
29.2N  72.6W       2 18  2  1 23   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X 14 14
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  9  9
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  4  4   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  5  5
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  8  8   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  2  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X 10 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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