Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN SEP 14 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST WED SEP 17 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
26.2N 70.6W 45 X X X 45 WILMINGTON NC X X X 12 12
27.6N 71.4W 21 8 1 X 30 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 15 15
28.9N 72.1W 2 20 2 1 25 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 16 16
MYSM 241N 745W X 1 1 X 2 NORFOLK VA X X X 12 12
SAVANNAH GA X X X 2 2 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 7 7
CHARLESTON SC X X X 5 5 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 4 4
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 9 9
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
C FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE
D FROM 8PM TUE TO 8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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