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Hurricane ISABEL


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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN SEP 14 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST WED SEP 17 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
25.7N  70.2W      49  X  X  X 49   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2
26.7N  71.3W      27  5  1  X 33   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  5  5
28.0N  72.2W       2 20  3  1 26   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  7  7
MYMM 224N 730W     X  2  1  1  4   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  9  9
MYSM 241N 745W     X  4  3  2  9   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X 11 11
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  2  1  3   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X 11 11
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1  1  2   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  6  6
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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