Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN SEP 14 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST WED SEP 17 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
25.7N 70.2W 49 X X X 49 SAVANNAH GA X X X 2 2
26.7N 71.3W 27 5 1 X 33 CHARLESTON SC X X X 5 5
28.0N 72.2W 2 20 3 1 26 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 7 7
MYMM 224N 730W X 2 1 1 4 WILMINGTON NC X X X 9 9
MYSM 241N 745W X 4 3 2 9 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 11 11
MYEG 235N 758W X X 2 1 3 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 11 11
MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 1 2 NORFOLK VA X X X 6 6
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 2 2 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
C FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
D FROM 2PM TUE TO 2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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