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Hurricane ISABEL


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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN SEP 14 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST WED SEP 17 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
25.2N  69.6W      47  X  X  X 47   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2
26.1N  70.6W      29  3  X  1 33   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  3  3
27.2N  71.6W       4 19  2  1 26   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  4  4
MYMM 224N 730W     X  2  1  1  4   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  5  5
MYSM 241N 745W     X  3  3  2  8   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  6  6
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  1  1  2   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  6  6
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1  2  3   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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