Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN SEP 14 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST WED SEP 17 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
25.2N 69.6W 47 X X X 47 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 2 2
26.1N 70.6W 29 3 X 1 33 CHARLESTON SC X X X 3 3
27.2N 71.6W 4 19 2 1 26 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 4 4
MYMM 224N 730W X 2 1 1 4 WILMINGTON NC X X X 5 5
MYSM 241N 745W X 3 3 2 8 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 6 6
MYEG 235N 758W X X 1 1 2 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 6 6
MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 2 3 NORFOLK VA X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM MON TO 8PM MON
C FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
D FROM 8AM TUE TO 8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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