Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT SEP 13 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST TUE SEP 16 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
23.0N 64.8W 57 X X X 57 MYMM 224N 730W X X 2 6 8
23.7N 66.7W 15 21 X 1 37 MYSM 241N 745W X X X 9 9
24.5N 68.7W X 18 10 1 29 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 4 4
MDPP 198N 707W X X 1 1 2 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 2 2
MBJT 215N 712W X X 4 5 9
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
C FROM 8PM SUN TO 8AM MON
D FROM 8AM MON TO 8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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