Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT SEP 13 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST TUE SEP 16 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
23.0N 63.7W 59 X X X 59 MYMM 224N 730W X X X 5 5
23.5N 65.5W 17 20 X X 37 MYSM 241N 745W X X X 6 6
24.5N 67.5W X 18 11 1 30 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 2 2
MBJT 215N 712W X X 1 5 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
C FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
D FROM 2AM MON TO 2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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