Hurricane ISABEL

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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED SEP 10 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  50.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SAT SEP 13 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.7N  54.4W      57  X  X  X 57   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X  2  2
21.8N  56.0W      22 13  X  X 35   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X  4  4
21.9N  57.8W       X 20  5  1 26   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X  2  2
TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X  2  2   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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