Hurricane ISABEL
ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE SEP 09 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST FRI SEP 12 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
20.3N 49.4W 60 X X X 60 TDPR 153N 614W X X X 3 3
20.3N 51.3W 30 8 X X 38 TFFR 163N 615W X X X 3 3
20.0N 53.3W 1 23 3 1 28 TAPA 171N 618W X X X 4 4
TBPB 131N 595W X X X 3 3 TKPK 173N 627W X X X 2 2
TLPL 138N 610W X X X 2 2 TNCM 181N 631W X X X 2 2
TFFF 146N 610W X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM WED TO 2PM WED
C FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU
D FROM 2AM THU TO 2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
NNNN