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Tropical Storm HENRI


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 06 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT TUE SEP  9 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.1N  81.1W      34  1  X  X 35   WILMINGTON NC      X  2  6  4 12
30.0N  79.8W      17  3  1  1 22   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  1  4  6 11
30.8N  78.3W       3  8  3  3 17   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  3  7 10
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1  1  2   NORFOLK VA         X  X  2  6  8
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  5  5
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  1  2  3   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  2  3  5   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2
MYGF 266N 787W     1  4  3  3 11   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
MARATHON FL        X  3  2  1  6   KEY WEST FL        X  2  2  2  6
MIAMI FL           2  4  3  1 10   MARCO ISLAND FL   10  2  1  1 14
W PALM BEACH FL    7  4  2  1 14   FT MYERS FL       22  X  1  X 23
FT PIERCE FL      16  2  1  1 20   VENICE FL         99  X  X  X 99
COCOA BEACH FL    26  1  X  X 27   TAMPA FL          99  X  X  X 99
DAYTONA BEACH FL  34  X  X  X 34   CEDAR KEY FL      40  X  X  X 40
JACKSONVILLE FL   23  1  X  1 25   ST MARKS FL        9  3  X  1 13
SAVANNAH GA        5  8  3  1 17   APALACHICOLA FL    4  3  1  1  9
CHARLESTON SC      1  9  3  2 15   PANAMA CITY FL     1  2  1  X  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  5  5  4 14   GULF 29N 85W       9  1  1  X 11
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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