Tropical Storm HENRI
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRI PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 06 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT TUE SEP 9 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.1N 81.1W 34 1 X X 35 WILMINGTON NC X 2 6 4 12
30.0N 79.8W 17 3 1 1 22 MOREHEAD CITY NC X 1 4 6 11
30.8N 78.3W 3 8 3 3 17 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 3 7 10
MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 1 2 NORFOLK VA X X 2 6 8
MYEG 235N 758W X X X 2 2 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 5 5
MYAK 241N 776W X X 1 2 3 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 4 4
MYNN 251N 775W X X 2 3 5 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 2 2
MYGF 266N 787W 1 4 3 3 11 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 2 2
MARATHON FL X 3 2 1 6 KEY WEST FL X 2 2 2 6
MIAMI FL 2 4 3 1 10 MARCO ISLAND FL 10 2 1 1 14
W PALM BEACH FL 7 4 2 1 14 FT MYERS FL 22 X 1 X 23
FT PIERCE FL 16 2 1 1 20 VENICE FL 99 X X X 99
COCOA BEACH FL 26 1 X X 27 TAMPA FL 99 X X X 99
DAYTONA BEACH FL 34 X X X 34 CEDAR KEY FL 40 X X X 40
JACKSONVILLE FL 23 1 X 1 25 ST MARKS FL 9 3 X 1 13
SAVANNAH GA 5 8 3 1 17 APALACHICOLA FL 4 3 1 1 9
CHARLESTON SC 1 9 3 2 15 PANAMA CITY FL 1 2 1 X 4
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 5 5 4 14 GULF 29N 85W 9 1 1 X 11
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
C FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
D FROM 2AM MON TO 2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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