Tropical Storm HENRI
ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HENRI PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI SEP 05 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HENRI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT MON SEP 8 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.7N 82.6W 43 X X X 43 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 1 8 9
29.6N 81.5W 23 2 1 X 26 NORFOLK VA X X 1 6 7
30.8N 80.2W 3 11 3 2 19 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 5 5
MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 1 2 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 3 3
MYAK 241N 776W X X 1 1 2 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 2 2
MYNN 251N 775W X X 2 2 4 KEY WEST FL X 2 2 2 6
MYGF 266N 787W X 4 3 3 10 MARCO ISLAND FL 6 4 2 1 13
MARATHON FL X 2 3 2 7 FT MYERS FL 14 3 1 X 18
MIAMI FL 1 5 2 2 10 VENICE FL 29 X X X 29
W PALM BEACH FL 3 6 3 2 14 TAMPA FL 44 X X X 44
FT PIERCE FL 9 5 2 1 17 CEDAR KEY FL 40 X X X 40
COCOA BEACH FL 16 3 1 1 21 ST MARKS FL 17 3 1 X 21
DAYTONA BEACH FL 22 2 1 X 25 APALACHICOLA FL 16 2 1 X 19
JACKSONVILLE FL 15 5 2 1 23 PANAMA CITY FL 7 5 1 1 14
SAVANNAH GA 1 10 4 2 17 PENSACOLA FL X 3 2 1 6
CHARLESTON SC X 5 7 4 16 MOBILE AL X 1 1 1 3
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 2 6 6 14 GULFPORT MS X X 1 1 2
WILMINGTON NC X X 6 6 12 GULF 29N 85W 29 1 X X 30
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 3 8 11 GULF 29N 87W 2 3 1 1 7
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
C FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
D FROM 2AM SUN TO 2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
NNNN