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Tropical Depression TWELVE
ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 04 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT SUN SEP 7 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.3N 83.2W 41 1 X X 42 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 1 7 8
29.0N 81.9W 22 2 1 X 25 NORFOLK VA X X X 5 5
30.0N 80.5W 3 10 4 2 19 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 3 3
MUHA 230N 824W X X 2 1 3 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 2 2
MYAK 241N 776W X X 1 1 2 KEY WEST FL X 3 3 2 8
MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 3 4 MARCO ISLAND FL 7 5 2 1 15
MYGF 266N 787W X 3 4 3 10 FT MYERS FL 14 3 1 1 19
MARATHON FL X 3 3 2 8 VENICE FL 25 1 X 1 27
MIAMI FL 1 5 3 2 11 TAMPA FL 32 X X X 32
W PALM BEACH FL 2 7 3 2 14 CEDAR KEY FL 30 1 X 1 32
FT PIERCE FL 5 7 3 2 17 ST MARKS FL 16 3 1 1 21
COCOA BEACH FL 9 6 3 1 19 APALACHICOLA FL 19 2 1 X 22
DAYTONA BEACH FL 12 6 2 1 21 PANAMA CITY FL 12 3 1 1 17
JACKSONVILLE FL 7 9 2 2 20 PENSACOLA FL 1 2 2 2 7
SAVANNAH GA X 7 5 4 16 MOBILE AL X 1 1 1 3
CHARLESTON SC X 2 7 5 14 GULFPORT MS X X 1 1 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 6 6 12 GULF 29N 85W 33 X X X 33
WILMINGTON NC X X 3 7 10 GULF 29N 87W 9 1 1 1 12
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 2 7 9 GULF 28N 89W X 1 X 1 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM FRI TO 7AM SAT
C FROM 7AM SAT TO 7PM SAT
D FROM 7PM SAT TO 7PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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