Tropical Depression TWELVE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 04 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT SUN SEP  7 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.3N  83.2W      41  1  X  X 42   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1  7  8
29.0N  81.9W      22  2  1  X 25   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  5  5
30.0N  80.5W       3 10  4  2 19   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  3  3
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  2  1  3   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  2  2
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  1  1  2   KEY WEST FL        X  3  3  2  8
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1  3  4   MARCO ISLAND FL    7  5  2  1 15
MYGF 266N 787W     X  3  4  3 10   FT MYERS FL       14  3  1  1 19
MARATHON FL        X  3  3  2  8   VENICE FL         25  1  X  1 27
MIAMI FL           1  5  3  2 11   TAMPA FL          32  X  X  X 32
W PALM BEACH FL    2  7  3  2 14   CEDAR KEY FL      30  1  X  1 32
FT PIERCE FL       5  7  3  2 17   ST MARKS FL       16  3  1  1 21
COCOA BEACH FL     9  6  3  1 19   APALACHICOLA FL   19  2  1  X 22
DAYTONA BEACH FL  12  6  2  1 21   PANAMA CITY FL    12  3  1  1 17
JACKSONVILLE FL    7  9  2  2 20   PENSACOLA FL       1  2  2  2  7
SAVANNAH GA        X  7  5  4 16   MOBILE AL          X  1  1  1  3
CHARLESTON SC      X  2  7  5 14   GULFPORT MS        X  X  1  1  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  6  6 12   GULF 29N 85W      33  X  X  X 33
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  3  7 10   GULF 29N 87W       9  1  1  1 12
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  2  7  9   GULF 28N 89W       X  1  X  1  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM FRI TO  7AM SAT
C FROM  7AM SAT TO  7PM SAT
D FROM  7PM SAT TO  7PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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