Tropical Depression TWELVE
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU SEP 04 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT SUN SEP 7 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.3N 83.8W 35 X X X 35 NORFOLK VA X X X 5 5
28.8N 82.6W 20 2 1 X 23 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 3 3
29.5N 81.5W 9 6 2 2 19 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 2 2
MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 2 3 KEY WEST FL X 1 2 3 6
MUAN 219N 850W X X 1 1 2 MARCO ISLAND FL 1 4 3 3 11
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 2 2 FT MYERS FL 4 5 3 2 14
MYGF 266N 787W X 1 2 4 7 VENICE FL 12 3 2 1 18
MARATHON FL X 1 2 2 5 TAMPA FL 17 3 1 1 22
MIAMI FL X 1 3 3 7 CEDAR KEY FL 22 2 X 1 25
W PALM BEACH FL X 3 3 4 10 ST MARKS FL 15 3 1 1 20
FT PIERCE FL 1 5 3 3 12 APALACHICOLA FL 19 2 1 X 22
COCOA BEACH FL 3 6 3 3 15 PANAMA CITY FL 12 3 1 1 17
DAYTONA BEACH FL 7 6 3 2 18 PENSACOLA FL 1 3 2 2 8
JACKSONVILLE FL 6 7 3 2 18 MOBILE AL X 1 2 1 4
SAVANNAH GA 1 6 4 4 15 GULFPORT MS X X 1 2 3
CHARLESTON SC X 3 5 5 13 BURAS LA X X 1 1 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 1 4 6 11 GULF 29N 85W 34 1 X X 35
WILMINGTON NC X X 3 7 10 GULF 29N 87W 13 2 X 1 16
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 2 6 8 GULF 28N 89W 1 1 2 1 5
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 1 6 7
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM FRI TO 1AM SAT
C FROM 1AM SAT TO 1PM SAT
D FROM 1PM SAT TO 1PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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