Hurricane FABIAN
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HURRICANE FABIAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON SEP 01 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST THU SEP 4 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
20.8N 62.1W 51 X X X 51 TJPS 180N 666W X 1 X 1 2
22.1N 63.6W 15 18 1 X 34 TJSJ 184N 661W X 2 1 1 4
23.3N 64.7W X 22 4 X 26 BERMUDA X X X 3 3
TAPA 171N 618W 3 1 X X 4 ST CROIX VI 1 2 1 X 4
TKPK 173N 627W 4 1 X X 5 ST THOMAS VI 1 5 X 1 7
TNCM 181N 631W 11 2 X X 13 SAN JUAN PR X 2 1 1 4
TISX 177N 648W 1 2 1 X 4 PONCE PR X 1 X 1 2
TIST 183N 650W 1 5 X 1 7
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM TUE TO 8AM WED
C FROM 8AM WED TO 8PM WED
D FROM 8PM WED TO 8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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