Hurricane FABIAN
ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FABIAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON SEP 01 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST THU SEP 4 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.6N 59.2W 48 X X X 48 TIST 183N 650W X X 4 2 6
20.7N 61.2W 12 22 X X 34 TJPS 180N 666W X X X 2 2
22.0N 63.0W X 19 8 1 28 TJSJ 184N 661W X X 1 3 4
TFFR 163N 615W X 3 1 X 4 ST CROIX VI X X 3 2 5
TAPA 171N 618W 1 6 2 X 9 ST THOMAS VI X X 4 2 6
TKPK 173N 627W X 4 3 1 8 SAN JUAN PR X X 1 3 4
TNCM 181N 631W X 6 4 1 11 PONCE PR X X X 2 2
TISX 177N 648W X X 3 2 5
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
C FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED
D FROM 2AM WED TO 2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN